| The North-South economic and political
divide is the overriding concern in international trade
relations, with the rich North creating conditions that
allow for the pillaging and primitivisation of the poor
South. Combined the International Financial Institutions
(IFIs) and World Trade Organisation (WTO) adopt a coherent
and comprehensive neo-liberal paradigm for trade and economic
management, and this free trade ideology is imposed on
developing countries.
There are serious deficiencies in this ideology, which
are rarely given any credence, or receive at best grudging
acknowledgement. The North uses the free trade ideology
as a means of domination over the resources and livelihoods
of the people of the South. One does not have to be
a radical or a revolutionary to question the merits
of their policies; simply looking at the economic history
of rich countries is instructive. “Do as I say
and not as I did” is the North’s mantra.
The neo-liberal, free trade, Washington Consensus ideology
is used as a tool to maintain resource flows from the
South to the North. Militarily the colonisers were kicked
out of African countries after bloody and horrific struggles.
Neo-liberalism replaced military colonial occupation
and ensures that resource flows from the South to the
North continue. Instead of rule by the gun, it became:
rule by trade policy. Free trade was used as the ideology
to continue to maintain colonial economic relations
with the South.
Trade is regulated primarily by the WTO. After the
collapse of the WTO Cancun Ministerial, where developing
countries refused to be bullied into accepting onerous
trade and development terms, the United States of America
(USA) and the European Union (EU) indicated that they
would pursue Regional Trading Arrangements (RTA’s)
with countries.
The failure of the economic superpowers to achieve
what they desired at the multilateral level must inform
our analysis of what they hope to achieve at the regional
negotiations level. Since many issues the North hoped
to impose on the South through the WTO were rejected,
it is imperative for the South to maintain this consistency
in RTA negotiations simply because the issues are not
in our interest. However, Southern governments, especially
in Africa, are much weaker in regional and bilateral
negotiations with the North than they are at the WTO
simply because of their extreme (and increasing) dependence
on the North.
The rational for African countries entering into RTAs
are complex. There is the overriding perception that
RTAs improve a country’s economic development
because of the alleged link between liberalisation and
economic growth. However, a United Nations Development
Programme longitudinal study of least developed countries
found indications that liberalisation leads to de-industrialisation.
One of the main reasons for entering RTA’s is
that regional bodies have greater representative and
market power and may improve parity in bargaining. In
order to benefit from the consolidation of representation,
one can, wrongly, presume that there is an African regional
integration plan that guides efforts in this regard.
The WTO establishes the framework for the implementation
of free trade values: liberalisation is the aim of international
trade. For an RTA to be WTO compliant it must result
in higher levels of economic integration within a reasonable
period of time, cover substantially all trade and be
more liberalised than the WTO regime. This means that
RTAs extend liberalisation commitments even further.
International trade is also impacted upon by the World
Bank (WB) and the International Monetary Fund (IMF).
The IFIs actively promote “Washington Consensus”
values of neo-liberal economics. The principle ideology
they impart is that the market allocates resources best
and the state should not interfere by creating market
distortions. They also promote tariff reductions and
trade liberalisation generally, forcing the South to
give for free what the North should bargain for in negotiations.
In the context of RTAs it is important to recognise
that the combination of these factors indicates that
trade policy (and development policy) is externally
determined by participation with the IFIs and the WTO.
These agreements regulate the development path that
is open for countries to follow. The control in many
instances is indirect and in many more it is quite direct.
But free trade and liberalisation were not used as
policies by the North to reach their current stage of
development. The Now Developed Countries (NDCs) used
different sets of policies (almost the exact opposite
of the Washington Consensus). Free trade and liberalisation
are now mantras prescribed under the guise of being
pro-development. The North used state power to regulate
markets, increased the social wage, created public services,
used tariffs as a means of industrial development and
controlled investment flows amongst other measures.
For evaluation of African policies and global engagement,
it is therefore revealing enough for us to begin our
analysis in comparing the IFI/WTO prescriptions with
the policies used by the North previously (historic
capitalism), in order to understand what is happening
to the South presently, within this form of neo liberal
globalisation. One need not be a revolutionary to see
that things in our countries are getting worse or that
the policy prescriptions used are so divorced from reality
as to be positively harmful.
Neo-liberalism treats all economic activities alike,
whereas the North developed by not treating all economic
activities alike. Simply put, the North recognised that
investing in a casino would have a different developmental
impact from say housing construction. This is a distinction
the neo liberal system does not allow governments to
make, so for instance subsidies under the WTO can be
made to “general” sectors and not specific
industries. Or, the General Agreement on Trade in Services
(GATS) treats basic health and water services the same
as tourism and gambling, when there are clearly qualitative
differences.
The neo-liberal ideology also pushes for perfect competition,
which is a utopian ideal that has never existed! In
the early stages of development, the Northern countries
actually pursued anticompetitive policies to assist
with their development. Practically Northern countries
followed the principle of protection of industries including
infant industries and only “opened” their
markets once a particular level of market dominance/
economies of scale were achieved. This is in direct
contradiction with the arguments against infant industry
protection and in favour of consumer welfare effects
of liberalisation based on efficiency, which are being
shoved onto African developmental agendas. Tariff liberalisation
is promoted by the WTO and the IFIs when high tariffs
were the primary tool used to develop manufacturing
capacity in the North. In other words, the system forces
African governments to prefer cheaper imported goods
over job creation at a time when unemployment is rife.
The recognition that imported goods “contain”
labour is not “obvious”, and we continue
to import labour contained in our imports and make them
cheaper by liberalising tariffs.
By using the economic analysis toolbox that the Northern
countries themselves used to develop, we see a world
that is violently intent on keeping us in poverty in
perpetuity. The term violently is not used lightly because
at present even an analysis of Africa’s chances
of pursuing Schumpertarian increasing return activities
is heavily constrained by our international commitments,
our so called level of global integration.
Since regional integration is a reality that must be
dealt with, national and regional development agendas
should, at the very least (but not only), incorporate
the view that different economic activities have different
impacts on the economy as Schumpeter pointed out.. Some
activities generate positive returns (manufacturing),
others are return neutral (tourism) while resource extraction
and primary commodity production (after a point) generate
negative/diminishing returns. In order to generate additional
revenue for the state, so that it can serve its distributive
function to improve the conditions of citizens, any
international trade engagement must prioritise increasing
return economic activities to promote revenue generation
occasioned in part by tariff income losses due to imposed
trade liberalisation. The impact of these losses is
not discussed adequately in the public domain and there
is a presumption that everything will be alright.
The WTO for instance allows tariff escalation. This
means that it is cheaper and easier for Africans to
export coffee beans than it is to export processed coffee.
Therefore Africa does not develop beyond being coffee
growers. It also allows for tariff peaks that are used
to keep out goods where African countries have particular
advantage like leather goods. So any move by Africans
to develop manufacturing capabilities or to exploit
comparative advantage to benefit meaningfully from their
products meets with enormous obstacles and disincentives
in Northern markets. These obstacles are legal and continue
the colonial legacy of forbidding manufacturing in the
colonies.
To bring about a change in the developmental pathway
for Africa a number of obstacles have to be overcome,
the first being the ideology of “free trade”
that contaminates every level of policy making in many
countries. Most officials and ministers “do not
know they do not know” or are “politically”
helpless in the face of free trade ideology.
The principles of “free trade” which are
presented as inherently good are unsurprisingly absent
in the North’s approach to agriculture. In agriculture
free trade is turned on its head, because the WTO allows
the North to use “trade distorting” subsidies
– state intervention that distorts the market:
the ultimate free trade sin. So the system is schizophrenic,
it prescribes a host of ideologies to govern trade in
our countries (and thereby our development) but fails
to apply it consistently in areas of interest to the
South.
Because our governments are being pragmatic, they do
not see the systemic and structural violence it creates
and unleashes on our people. Over 70% of Africans rely
on agriculture as a means of living, yet they are prevented
from using this comparative advantage. South Africa
in particular is giving the land back to black people
but is forcing these farmers to compete with subsidised
European and American imports. This is a recipe for
disaster.
Many governments in Africa, however, are adopting the
view that the more RTAs they belong to, the more beneficial
it will be to their economies. But, for instance, the
Southern African Development Community (SADC) Free Trade
Agreement (FTA) is estimated to reduce Namibia’s
revenue by between 31 and 50 percent over the next twelve
years (and these exclude the dynamic effects!). A plethora
of agreements would further reduce income. This is not
simply a matter for trade negotiators; it has serious
implications for governmental stability especially at
a time when debt levels are rising exponentially. Money
for much needed social welfare is simply not going to
be available because most governments rely heavily on
international trade taxes for revenue.
At present though, the international trade context
within which African countries operate is skewed against
them because increasing return activities:
- Do not enjoy meaningful market access in export markets
(especially in areas where we have comparative advantage);
- Do not have sufficiently protected domestic markets
to promote entrepreneurship and local development;
- Suffer from supply side constraints;
- Face continually declining commodity/primary goods
prices and unfair competition in agriculture;
- Are prevented through whimsical barriers to market
entry in foreign countries.
Africa’s openness to foreign goods and services
within the domestic market is a problem. Africa is the
continent that is most open to global trade. This means
that even in the domestic market, local manufacturers
must compete with Transnational Corporations. African
manufacturers are expected to survive without protection
from the State. We are trying to compete through exports
in highly organised foreign markets while surrendering
our home turf and losing out in both. The policies imposed
on us simply do not make sense.
Africa has slavishly followed most of the prescriptions
of the former colonial powers with a spectacularly tragic
outcome. If most of what we are doing is so different
from what the North did and things are getting worse,
then it is time to look at alternatives. There are other
views on development that are simply not canvassed at
all by our governments. If African governments are to
prosper economically and politically, we need to at
least begin to look at the policies used in the past
by the now rich countries. If our governments fail to
even consider some of these alternatives, then democratic
government or not, it is a sad day. It is even sadder
when these “free trade” conditions are imposed
by many honourable and dedicated leaders who suffered
greatly to bring us liberation (Nelson Mandela included),
only to compound our people’s material destitution.
ENDS.
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