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There is much debate on the African continent on the
right kind and right level of regionalism, or the creation
of regional blocs. Earlier discussion on it (in 1960s,
70s, and 80s) was focused on internal regionalism. Kwame
Nkrumah had the vision, in the 1950s, of a single united
Africa. Many people in the continent still share that
vision. Pragmatic leaders, such as Julius Nyerere preferred
a phased approach to African unity starting from sub-regional
blocs to continental unity. He had even offered to delay
Tanganyika’s independence if that allowed time
for Uganda and Kenya to catch up so that the three countries
achieved independence as one nation. This was not to
be. But the strategy of creating sub-regional blocs
as stepping stones to continental unity has remained
the major thrust of policy and institutional action
in the 1970s and 1980s, leading to formation of groups
such as the SADC in Southern Africa, ECOWAS in West
Africa and the East African Community (EAC).
Overlapping these efforts at regional organisations
have been the leftover arrangements from the colonial
era. Thus, for example, the countries of francophonie
are “integrated” with the economy of France,
and Anglophone countries are members of the Commonwealth.
These “partnership” arrangements have consolidated
into the present Cotonou Agreement that has brought
together practically the whole of the continent into
closer “integration” or “partnership”
with Europe.
There are contradictions between the endogenously-inspired
regional efforts (such as SADC and ECOWAS) and the exogenously-inspired
“partnership” agreements such as Cotonou.
The biggest hurdle to indigenous regionalisation is
the “regionalism” pushed from above by the
dominant economic and power blocs in the name of “partnership”.
In order to understand the implications of these contending
regionalisms, and to clarify issues for policy directions,
it is necessary to distinguish between different types
of regional and partnership arrangements.
Four Types of Regionalism/Partnerships
The first is integrative regionalism, or integrative
partnership. It is one where the integrating partners
are perceived to have compatible interests. No conflict
is perceived, or if there are conflicts then these are
“sublimated” by the higher consideration
of the common good that comes out of integrating into
a single economic or political unit. The East African
Community (EAC) that existed prior to independence of
Kenya, Uganda and Tanzania was a kind of integrative
regionalism (possible because of the common imperial
interest of the British). To some extent, the European
Union is tortuously moving in the direction of this
kind of integrative regionalism.
However, once the gains and losses are closely tabulated
and calculated, and no state surrenders anything unless
it gets something in return of equal value, it is distributive
regionalism or partnership. Here the states continue
to pursue their individualistic interests. There is
no overriding common interest except those that are
negotiated on the basis of the relative strength of
the negotiating partners. Examples of this are the South
African Customs Union, and the bilateral trade negotiations
that go on between countries of the southern African
region either within the context of the SADC or COMESA.
Thus, in the case of the EAC, when the three countries
became independent and resorted to analysing the distributive
gains and losses, and in the absence of an overriding
integrative mechanism, it collapsed -- an eventuality
Mwalimu Nyerere tried unsuccessfully to avoid by offering
to delay Tanzania’s independence until Kenya and
Uganda were ready to achieve independence. (The EAC
is beginning to take shape again, but the Cotonou and
other forms of enforced “partnerships” based
on divide and rule are a powerful barrier).
Then there is enforced regionalism or partnership where
one country is subjected to the dictate of another largely
because of asymmetrical power relationship. Theoretically,
there is the possibility of the weaker partner to walk
out of the arrangement. Practically, this may be impossible
because of a “locked-in” situation where
walking out may be even more costly than a bad bargain.
Classically, the colonial relationship was an enforced
regionalism. The colonised people put up resistance
but they had little choice in the ensuing outcome. Enforced
regionalism is power-based.
A sub-set of enforced partnership is structured regionalism/partnership
where the outcome is determined not by negotiations
but by historically created conditions or institutions
in which asymmetry is built into, embedded in, the very
nature of that relationship. It is a structured relationship.
Thus, for example, in the decades when the Europeans
colonised Africa it was an enforced partnership that
was yet to be structured. Once the institutions of industry,
trade and governance were put in place, the relationship
became institutionally structured. The structured relationship
may include not only institutions but also social groups
(that emerge in the process of production and trade),
modes of thought, and even a certain kind of psychology
(dependent psychology), that the imperial power creates
within the colonised society.
The ACP-EU Partnership Agreement, signed in Cotonou
in June 2000, is an example of structured regionalism.
It is essentially the continuation of the historic relationship
between Africa and Europe. Nothing has fundamentally
changed about this relationship. In the “Free
Trade Agreements” (FTA) that are signed by the
EU and the African countries, the latter continue by
and large to perform the historic role of the producers
of raw materials for European industries, as well as
provide markets for European goods and investments.
Indeed, with the inclusion of “comprehensive and
integrated approach for a strengthened partnership based
on political dialogue, development co-operation and
economic and trade relations" in the Cotonou Agreement,
the structured relationship has, if anything, deepened
and intensified even further. These are backed by sanctions
that only Europe can impose on the ACP countries (the
reverse case of Africa imposing sanctions on Europe
is out of the question).
The US’ African Growth Opportunities Act (AGOA)
is an example of an enforced regionalism that has yet
not become structured. It is a unilateral, fast-track,
offer by the United States to open its market to African
products provided the qualifying countries undertake
to meet certain U.S. economic, political and military
conditions (among them the following: market access
to US is open only to those countries that secure a
"certificate of eligibility" from the US;
conform to the WTO and Structural Adjustment Programmes;
bring domestic legislation to conform to the WTO; eliminate
barriers to all US trade & investments; and ensure
strict private property legislation and enforcement.
Furthermore, they must not engage in any act that undermines
US national security and foreign policy interests).
The offer is in obvious competition with the EU, and
has yielded immediate economic results for a few African
countries. However, the US can unilaterally withdraw
the offer any time, and there is nothing an African
country can do about it.
Conclusion: Peoples' regionalism - regionalism from
below
It is hardly necessary to make the case for regional
integration. The economic case based on market size
and the benefits of large scale production is obvious
enough.
The one argument above all else that must be reiterated
here is the political one. The political argument is
that only through regional integration can the populations
of the region acquire a negotiating clout in the global
production and trading system. There is no country in
Africa, not even South Africa, which has the capacity
and the strength to leverage the negotiations that take
place, for example, in the WTO or under the Cotonou
Agreement.
It should be clear from the above analysis what kind
of regionalism is best suited to Africa. Integrative
regionalism, however, cannot be achieved overnight.
The main reason is that African countries are locked
into enforced regionalism/partnerships with the former
colonial countries. The second reason is that amongst
themselves, African countries tend to negotiate on the
basis of gains and losses for their respective countries
(distributive regionalism). As noted earlier, this is
the reason that the East African Community disintegrated
after Kenya, Uganda and Tanzania gained their independence
separately.
In the southern African context integrative regionalisation
can be achieved only from below, and as an act of faith,
a leap into the future through sublimating considerations
of short term commercial gains and losses. Indeed, it
is not such a leap in the dark as the above sentence
might suggest. There is no question that the present
structured and enforced regionalism from on top by the
EU and the USA are working against the interests of
the bulk of the populations. They have everything to
gain by making this leap into the future, and by demanding
of their political leadership that they systematically
disengage their countries from an enforced relationship
with the imperial countries, and make serious efforts
at integrative regionalism.
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